S&P 500 Nears Record High as Markets Bet on More Fed Easing in 2026

2025-12-11 | FTSE China A50 Index , HK Market , Market Dynamics , Securities , US Markets

Market Update

US stocks closed higher on Wednesday, with the Dow gaining nearly 500 points and the S&P 500 approaching its all-time closing high. After the Federal Reserve delivered another 25-basis-point rate cut, traders increased their expectations for additional easing next year.

The Fed lowered rates for the third consecutive time this year, bringing the federal funds rate to 3.50–3.75 percent.
Officials reintroduced language on “considering the extent and timing of additional adjustments,” though the vote revealed divisions: Kansas City Fed President Schmid and Chicago Fed President Goolsbee opposed the cut, favoring unchanged rates, while Governor Miller argued for a deeper 50-bp cut.

Powell said the standing repo facility remains a key tool for stabilizing funding markets and noted the Fed removed its cap on usage. He avoided signaling whether another near-term cut is likely, saying policy is positioned to adapt to evolving conditions.

While the Fed’s projections indicate only one rate cut next year, markets disagree. CME’s FedWatch tool shows a 68 percent probability of two or more cuts in 2026.


US Equities

Mega-cap tech stocks were mixed:
• Microsoft fell 2.74 percent
• Meta slipped 1.04 percent
• Nvidia dipped 0.64 percent
• Apple gained 0.58 percent
• Google A added 0.99 percent
• Tesla rose 1.41 percent
• Amazon climbed 1.69 percent

Chinese ADRs mostly traded higher, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index up 0.65 percent. Pony.ai jumped 3.45 percent, while Alibaba and Baidu gained over 1.7 percent.

Market Snapshot

Dow Jones: +497.46 points, +1.05 percent, 48057.75
Nasdaq: +77.67 points, +0.33 percent, 23654.16
S&P 500: +46.22 points, +0.68 percent, 6886.73


Hong Kong Markets

Hong Kong stocks were mixed at midday. Tech names mostly declined, with Bilibili up slightly while Lenovo dropped over 1 percent.

Lithium battery stocks led gains after domestic suppliers announced 15 percent price hikes effective December 16 due to rising upstream raw material costs.

Chipmakers lagged, with ZTE plunging over 9 percent on reports it may pay 1–2 billion dollars or more to settle U.S. bribery allegations tied to overseas business practices.

Market Snapshot

Hang Seng Index: +0.09 percent, 25563.05
Hang Seng Tech Index: -0.65 percent, 5544.57
China Enterprises Index: -0.13 percent, 8942.86


A50 / Mainland China

Mainland markets were mixed at midday.
Shanghai Composite: -0.46 percent, 3882.72
Shenzhen Component: -0.18 percent
ChiNext Index: +0.3 percent

Turnover reached 1.16 trillion yuan, higher than the previous session, with more than 4,200 stocks declining.

Wind power and aerospace remained active, while retail and property sectors weakened.


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